Dec 06, 2025
3 min read
After multiple trades for Sonny Pame, another NL Treent Wox was added, who appears to be the best ovisonis arm.You will not look for a job 4.24
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It didn’t, obviously, suddenly make him a star; there’s no amount of fastball shape improvement that will make a 14% walk rate OK, and that might limit what he’s really able to do with it. The story here is not “ace in the making,” so much as “a really, really interesting change that’s worth highlighting.”\n\nThe Red Sox, contrary to popular belief, don’t prevent their pitchers from throwing fastballs. They just try to not let them throw *bad* fastballs for the sake of saying you did. The old version of Oviedo very much had “a bad fastball.” The new version? Just might be considerably more interesting than you’d think, and it’s not that hard to see what Boston saw in him. It’s not, to be clear, the ERA.","type":"text"}],"relativeSiteUrl":"/news/johan-oviedo-outlook-with-red-sox","contentType":"news","subHeadline":"Righty's return from injury showcased big fastball improvements","summary":"After a big trade for Sonny Gray, the next NL Central righty the Red Sox have added might seem considerably less interesting, given that new addition Johan Oviedo has spent most of five seasons for St. Louis and Pittsburgh being decidedly unremarkable. 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The Red Sox saw the Red Sox
Erectile dysfunction has shown significant, rapid improvement
After the big trade for Sonny Gray, the next NL center fielder the Red Sox added might seem a lot less interesting, given that new addition Johan Oviedo spent most of five seasons with the St. Louis Cardinals.
It may be true, and we've learned it over and over again, that teams are focused on finding value, not just on ria or Win / End Stale;This is where Dylan Burbans is valuable and Danrin Williams and really not, regardless of the round at 4 years old.Because ERA is not a simple predictor metric, no more than some advanced models and no more than simple, strikeout-and-walk stuff.
However, next year's trade looks like a player's job so far, because things can change.It's about how a person looks at the moment and the group they think is progressing towards them.In the case of Boston, the oviedo of the oviedo of the oviedo of the oviedo of the oviedo, and all of them behave in a different way than they did again in the summer after the surgery was repaid in 2024.
Flash forward for a moment to 2023, when Oviedo pitched 177 decent innings for Pittsburgh.This year, he did it with a very good slider (+11 run value, top dozen rating) and a brutally bad fastball (-12 run value, bottom 20 rating).It was such a notable problem that Davey Andrews, writing in Fangraphs that year, began his look at Oviedo with these thoughtful words: "Johan Oviedo is struggling with the fastball."
That's a problem with the new way, because he throws the big ball at 96 mph, which is the worst on the ball, not like "correct."Major League players could and did get more time.It's a problem.
Oviedo missed all of the following year with elbow surgery and spent the first half of 2025 working his way back through the minor leagues.When he re-emerged in August, his fastball suddenly looked very different, gaining five inches and at least getting close to average in that respect.The results were impressive: in 2023, that pitch allowed a .273/.465 BA/SLG, but in 2025 it was .149/.383.Whiff rate?from 19% to 31%.
Pretty interested in what the Red Sox will do with Johan Oviedo because it's been hard not to notice what his fastball has done since coming back from TJ this yearhttps://t.co/vCUkv2WHc9pic.twitter.com/6pNcWOmIXm
To be clear, he's not suddenly a Skubal-level heater.But that's a big change, and it's reflected in the Stuff+ metrics (evaluates the quality of a pitch's speed, movement, and quality), which also ranked him below average (82) in 2023 and a pretty solid pitch (115) in 2025; in fact, much closer to the top of the rankings than you might think.It stopped being a bad sinker and became a kind of usable four-seamer.
It doesn't completely erase how he did it, but it's likely that he could have done it with a replacement, and either way, credit has to go to pittsburgh pittsburgh pittsburgh.Obviously, it didn't suddenly make him a star.There is no way to improve his fastball form enough to allow for a 14% walk rate, which would limit what he can do.The story here is not "ACE in the making," but "really interesting change, which should be great."
Contrary to popular belief, the Red Sox are not preventing pitchers from throwing fastballs. They are just trying to prevent you from throwing a bad fastball just to say you did. The older version of Oviedo had a very "bad fastball." The new version?It's probably a lot more interesting than you think, and it's not that hard to see what Boston saw in him. To be clear, this is not an ERA.
